TOPIC DETAILS
Posted By : drcheenu Posted On : Aug 10, 2017
Subject :The Rajah S. R. K. Ranga Row Memorial Cup
The Rajah S. R. K. Ranga Row Memorial Cup
Class 2 / Horses Rated 45 to 65- 1400M

•GYPSY: is a 4YO colt has already won this class by beating good horses like Arvak, Siobahn, Antananiravo etc, who have later registered victory.But in my handicapping method I generally discard same class winner(SCW) unless I have strong reasons to consider. I also think Gypsy finds 1400M a little stiff and with Nazerul Alam declared to ride his chances are dim here.

•JUSTICE ANGEL: This career first start winner was highly thought of by the connections initially and was competing in graded races matching strides with the likes of Serjeant At Arms , Whomakestherules etc. Has had a mild set back and was shifted stables to Imtiaz Khan Khan who has patiently nursed her back to peak fitness which was evident when she steamrolled the opposition in her last start albeit in lower class. She looked a picture in the paddock when paraded last. Has excellent chance here.

•TOPAZ: is a 5YO horse had come up through the handicap route,has had a tough time to clear the class 3 but found a friendly bunch in this class to register victory. SCW & 5Yo hence discared.

•BONFIRE: This 5YO mare has won higher clss and been in and out races since then. In her last start finished 9 ¾ lengths behind winner. Cant’t fancy here.

•BURNISHED GOLD: has had uninspiring runs in her last 4 starts. Cannot expect her to improve with this rider. Ignored.

•AMAZING REDD: this long in tooth competitor has to find more friendly set to come victorious. Not here.

•EMIDIO: has two career wins and his last victory was in class 4. Has not won the lower class and as such is not considered here.

•ALEXANDRITE: Age and ability is against mare. She finds Class 2 a tough proposition and is on a weight reduction mission to try a coup in lower class later. Perhaps at Mysore in age group race. Not my fancy here.

•RACING FIRE: this 4YO gelding is a winner of this class (SCW), and finished at the back end of the field in her last start. Ignored.

•REAL STEEL: Age, form, fitness intent everything is amiss with this gelding.

•MOON DANCER: this rig is likely to be installed as a favourite in this race mainly on account of the stable, ownership and trainers credentials and also being the only 3YO in the field. For me these are all misplaced credentials. Has not done anything remarkable in his career for such support in Class 2. Her last start was pathetic finishing 26 lengths behind winner even though in graded company. His earlier two victories came in Hyderabad where he was with a different trainer and inferior company. He was not even a career first start winner. I will be surprised if he wins. Good luck to all who back him.

•WAR ENVOY: as a favourite finished 7 lengths behind Racing Fire in his last start which was 5 months ago and is resuming after a break. Though his morning work appears alright it would be difficult to register a win after the long break. Should use this race to regain race fitness, in my opinion.

So in the final analysis Justice Angel stands tall in this card and should score an encore, though I normally don't encourage betting on a runner who is having its first run in this class, I recommend that we can make that odd exception to that rule here.

Good Luck.
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  k.k said ... On : 8/11/2017 10:52:49 AM
HI DR CHEENU..LOVE YOU..VERY GOOD PICK MY DEAR BUT AT THE TIME OF RACE I SAW POONAWALA WAS THEIR OTHER WISE HARDLY HE COMES TO RACE COURSE..IT WAS FIXED THAT MOONDANCER IS GOING TO WIN AND TROPHY SHD BE GIVEN TO HIM..YOU CAN JUDGE FROM ASHHAD ASHER RIDING WAS NOT COMING IN FRONT MOON DANCER DID START TO FINISH..
THIS CALL RACING...

DON,T BE DIS HEARTED KEEP IT ON

YOUR GRT FAN
K,K

  Khalid said ... On : 8/10/2017 4:51:27 PM
Thank U. Dr. Cheenu

One sincere request pls post your picks atleast 2-3 days a week. Hope, you will do us this favor.

Regards,
Your Ardent Follower!!

  drcheenu said ... On : 8/10/2017 4:12:16 PM
Kudos to those who nominated MOON DANCER to win this race. Justice Angel was well and truly defeated so is my analysis.
This is one of those that went against my calculations. My commiserations to those who went with my choice.
I will try to come up with the right choice next time.

  svj said ... On : 8/10/2017 2:03:06 PM
Good Anlysis
but sirthe bbunch it beat last time I feel JUSTICE ANGEL won't be sighted
one of the oldies TOPAZ, ALEXANDRITE, GYPSY or BON FIRE atleast three of above will finish in the first three.
if NON FIRE jumps well race over

  BKD said ... On : 8/10/2017 1:57:28 PM
@ Dr Cheenu,

Here's how I have figured out this race...

Race 4 Win#11=MOON DANCER

Ignore her last run in Colts trial where it was blocked and deprived of a clear passage and consequently finished nowhere to Castlebridge.

At least, she possesses the gumption to pitch herself, with the best in her age group!

Working out impressively ever since that mishap and with Trevor in the saddle should romp home.

JUSTICE ANGEL, although the bookmaker's favourite for the race seems to me a 'cooked' strategy of the wily satchel boys! She has neither the age nor the past performance in a classy field, to justify her favouritism. Stay away!
At race time, she may not even sustain as the favourite is what I guess.

Let's see.
BKD

  Mad Max said ... On : 8/10/2017 1:24:47 PM
It is JUSTICE ANGEL only.
Last week in Pune WISE CHILD lost (only one 3 year old in the field)
Today MOONDANCER will have to loose (only one 3 year old in the field)

My friend SFP says Gypsy clocked better timing - but sorry Sir, in my calculations Gypsey clocked poor timings. War Envoy will finish ahead of Gypsy.

1. Justice Angel
2. Moon Dancer
3. War Envoy

  kumar_blore said ... On : 8/10/2017 1:08:45 PM
Best wishes drcheenu,nice analysis.
My Choice is alexandrite, has come down a lot in scales.ran a sprint race last time which is not its pet distance,now running in its ideal trip can prevail.

  ramiyer said ... On : 8/10/2017 12:32:00 PM
Well dr Cheenu sir.
Last run of Gypsey from a wider draw was outstanding shaped like a winner wilted under pressure due to the intial pace.If ridden in same pattern very difficult to catch.My days best bet.
Gypsey.1.
Alexandrite..2
Moon dancer.3.
Justice angel or war envoy 4.
All the best.

  SETHURAMAN said ... On : 8/10/2017 12:13:39 PM
Dear Madmax
JUSTICE ANGEL OR GYPSY ? WHAT IS YOUR OPINION?

  stop fooling punter said ... On : 8/10/2017 11:44:19 AM
J.angle own with a pentometer reading of 3.55,where as GYPSY clocked 1.26.60 in pentometer of 4.2.
Today going soft with night rains.
Gypsy looks out standing here an each way bet for me

The owner of J.A. has changed many trainers